Fantasy Sports Blogger

Condensed version below as I need some sleep.

My over/under for this is 15 points for QB & RB, 10 for WR & DST and 5 for K & TE.

Judge me on Tuesday.

Surprise Starts
QB: J. McCown
RB: M. Lynch
WR: B. Jones/Roydell Williams (tie)
TE: M. Schobel
K: S. Suisham
DST: TB

Bizzare Benches
QB: Rivers
RB: F. Gore
WR: M. Harrison
TE: Winslow
K: Akers
DST: SEA

Picks Against the Spread
ARI (+7.5) @ BAL - Something says close into 4th to me
SF (+8.5) @ PIT - Doesn’t seem logical I know
CIN (-3.5) @ SEA - Going with the AFC is better theory
SD (-4.5) @ GB - Breakout game for LT
IND (-6) @ HOU - Is Houston that good, I say not without A. Johnson
CAR (-4) @ ATL - Panthers have too much speed for division mate
NYJ (-3) vs. MIA - Don’t know why this line is less than 7.
TBB (-3.5) vs. STL - Surprising Buc get to show off again
DET (+6) @ PHI - Philly wins but by a FG
KC (-2.5) vs. MIN - KC wins going away
DEN (-3) @ JAX - JAX seems to be a no show this year so far
OAK (-3) vs. CLE - Can you believe this is second game this year OAK was favored?
WAS (-4) vs. NYG - WAS looks way better than NYG at this point in the season
BUF (+16.5) @ NE - Never like taking a Pro team to win by more than 11.
DAL (+3) @ CHI - I think Chicago wins by 2 on last second Gould kick
TEN (+4.5) vs. NO - TEN keeps games close

Team 1 Roster of 10 team veteran league
(I’m off to a good 2-0 start thanks to S. Smith.)

QB: V. Young, V. Young has better matchup than Leinart
RB: F. Gore, L. Jordan, D. McAllister, C. Williams, L. White - Yanking Mc for stellar Jordan matchup
WR: S. Smith, R. Williams, S. Holmes, W. Welker, D. Patten - Williams and Smith look good so far.
TE: D. Clark, Schobel, LJ Smith (IR) - Added Schobel
K: Mare - Last week for Mare before I turn to another K
DST: SD - Good matchup against Favre

Team 2 Roster of 12 team PPR league
(So far, I’m 2-0 thanks to good team effort)
QB: Schaub, Leinart - Schaub has better matchup than Leinart even without A. Johnson
RB: Parker, Bush, Jordan (flex), Dunn - Jordan is impressive so far
WR: Wayne, R. Williams, L. Coles, Welker, Randle El, Evans - Strong starters march on
TE: Witten - Small week 2 but always a threat to catch a TD each week
K: Gostkowski - Only kicker but this is a good week for him
DST: Chicago - Question mark of a matchup against Romo and Boys. Which Romo shows up?
(Amazingly picked up Evans in 12 team league when someone dropped him for Brandon Marshall)

Team 3 Roster of 10 team, auto-draft, 3rd year, work league
(Got back to 1-1 so a little less nervous)
QB: Brees, Leinart - Brees has to do better this week right?
RB: Jordan, Parker, Gore, D. Williams - Starting Jordan this week due to matchup over Gore. Cross my fingers.
WR: D. Branch, R. Williams, A. Johnson - Afraid that Johnson will be out for multiple weeks and I may need to make a trade.
TE: Schobel, Scaife - Dropped LJ Smith and picked up Schobel and emergency start him this week. Scaife hasn’t shown much yet.
K: Gould, Mare - Mare may be dropped after this week.
DST: Baltimore, Jacksonville - ARI should be good for some turnovers!
(No moves other than Schobel add/LJ Smith drop)

Team 4 Roster of 10 team, auto-draft, 2nd year, work league
(Got back to 1-1 start after gift of Roy Williams fumble taken away by Yahoo on Wed.)
QB: McNabb, Leinart - Time for putup or shut up for McNabb as Leinart’s schedule will get easier soon.
RB: Gore, Parker, J. Lewis, D. Williams - Missed on J. Lewis’ big week of the year. If he breaks a 100 again this season I will be plesantly surprised.
WR: R. Wayne, R. Williams, D. Branch (flex), D. Stallworth - If Braylon can do it why not Branch against CIN?
TE: Daniels, Schobel - Dropped LJ Smith for his backup due to injury.
K: Mare - Only kicker and may be out the door unless he has 8 point performance or better on Monday night.
DST: Baltimore, Jacksonville - Good matchup for BAL. Waiting for JAX to wake up.

My Survivor pick this week is Indianapolis. Rules for this survivor league I’m in don’t allow you to pick the same team or pick against the same team in consecutive weeks. Hence, I would have started NE or PIT this week if I had my drothers.

Warning of the week: Baltimore. They’ve been known to lay an egg at home and this could be that game. Everything points to a double digit win but something tells me this will be close in the 4th.

Well audience, assuming I still have an audience, I must apologize for my limited posting until now. I just finished moving from one house to another and I must admit that there are fewer experiences that rival moving for frustration, exhaustion and irritation! At least I didn’t move the stuff myself in this 90 degree heat. Well, I’m online finally and I’ll be posting a condensed version this week.

Although painful, my moving issues set us up well for Moving Weekend!
If you’re a golfer or watched golf (admit it, there are few of you out there), you know the third day of a golf tourney is known as Moving Day. You either move into contention or move mentally on to the next tourney.

The third weekend of the fantasy year should be your litmus test for whether or not you should start moving guys or benching your top draft picks. Generally, those guys will have played a weak/moderate defense and a strong/superior defense by now. For instance, we’ll know a lot about guys including Donovan McNabb, Drew Brees, Larry Johnson, Lamont Jordan, J. Lewis, L. Coles, K. Curtis, Tony Gonzalez, Olindo Mare and the Minnesota defense. If your worthy of a start in week 4 after showing well in the first 3 weeks then you’re good for the year (Barring injury). As for poor performers, you should give your stars a little slack but get rid of guys (Mare, Jax Def) and don’t be afraid to bench McNabb or Brees if a better matchup comes along.

I’ll give you 3 examples of how it affects me. I’m starting L. Jordan this week (great matchup) instead of F. Gore in one league and D. McAllister/C. Williams in another. If he stays healthy, I consider this LJ to be the steal of the draft right up there with Romo and R. Moss. Now in another league, someone dropped Lee Evans after week 2. Week 2! Yours truly scooped him up. I mean the Bills played NE and PIT and some drops Evans. By the way, be aware of all your league’s transactions. Sometimes your co-owners will try to slip one under the radar for a one week start and try to get them back as soon as they can. Finally, I have Olindo Mare in 3 leagues. If he can’t perform at home this week, he’s gone! I’ll pickup a Jeff Reed or a Shaun Suisham if I fell like it.

Question of the day: Is this the “Circle the Wagons Game” for the Eagles and the Saints this week (ala Berman’s Bills)?

Coming early tomorrow… My picks for the week. I’m exhausted but I’m dedicated.