Archive for October 11th, 2009

7-7 last week brings my yearly total to 33-29. Locks slipped to 6-6 after 1-2 week. I overplayed the underdogs last week. DET, GB and SD really disappointed me. I should have known better with OAK. This week has some HUGE point spreads. I’m leaning towards more favorites than I typically play. My picks are the left most team of the matchup followed by the line and opponent. The locks have an *.

*DET +10.5 vs. PIT - Lesson learned…DET covers at home
NYG -16 vs. OAK - Giants will run and run some more
PHI -14 vs. TB - Let’s see if Eagles are for real vs. nemesis
CIN +8.5 @ BAL - Just changed my mind for third time
CLE +6 @ BUF - BUF is tired from NO and MIA offenses
KC +8.5 vs. DAL - And just changed my mind on this one too
WAS +3.5 @ CAR - Skins keep games close
*DEN +3 vs. NE - Brady is 1-3 against DEN
SF -2.5 vs. ATL - ATL defense troubles me
MIN -10 @ STL - MIN should stumble after big Monday night win but this is STL right
HOU +5.5 @ ARI - Zona needs to show me something
JAX -0.5 @ SEA - Toss up but I like MJD and Garrard
*IND -4 @ TEN - Titans play this close for 3 quarters I think
*NYJ -1.5 @ MIA - Another close game…don’t think MIA is that good though

All those guys over there at ESPN can tell you it’s a no brainer to start Peterson, Brees, Wayne or Gates each week. I really don’t see any of them showing you when to start a second/third tier guy from your bench over a normal starter. That’s what this weekly post looks to accomplish. I want to give you the best possible matchups to consider versus the guys you auto-start each week.

Start
QB - Cassell, S. Hill
RB - Mendenhall, Bradshaw
WR - Miles Austin, Sam Hurd
TE - Miller
K - Reed
DST - Redskins

Bench
QB - Eli Manning (heel injury question)
RB - Benson, S. Jackson
WR - Roy Williams, C. Johnson
TE - Boss, Cooley
K - Folk
DST - Titans (unless you have to start them like me)