Picking games against the spread is very humbling. Last week I went from 2-5 early on to finishing at 8-8 and I think I was extremely lucky to finish there. I was really surprised by underdogs playing so well. For the year, I’m 18-14 in all games and 5-4 in my locks. Let’s take a look at week 3. I think there are more scary games out there. In particular, early injuries are making some of these games befuddling. NE may have to sign a receiver or two tomorrow if Welker and Moss can’t go. Barber may be out but so is half of the Carolina defense. Philadelphia may have to play Vick at RB, WR and QB with McNabb, Westbrook and Desean Jackson hurting. I feel like this could be a 12-4 or 4-12 week easily. I like a lot of dogs to cover but lose this week.
KC +9.5 @ PHI - Too many ifs for Eagles to win big
CLE +13.5 @ BAL - Divisional game red flag alert
STL +6.5 vs. GB - Packers O line in shambles
TB +7 vs. NYG - This could easily be a push
NYJ -2.5 vs. TEN - Everybody else is picking Titans
DET +6.5 vs. WAS - Call it a sympathy pick
HOU -4 vs. JAX - Jags & Texans confuse me
ATL +4 @ NE - Pats Offense is hurting
SF +7 @ MIN - I’ve flip-flopped 5 times on this one
NO -5.5 @ BUF - Saints on too much of a roll
CHI -2 @ SEA - Cutler/Forte over Wallace/Forsett
CIN +4.5 vs. PIT - Bengal D better than PIT D?
OAK -1.5 vs. DEN - Such a toss up game
SD -6.5 vs. MIA - Monday night hangover for Fins
IND +2 @ ARI - Last team with the ball wins
CAR +9.5 @ DAL - DAL wins easy but CAR will score
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